Researcher
Predicts 80 year Little Ice Age to begin soon
Milenio ^ | August 19, 200 | Víctor Manuel Velasco
Herrera
Posted on 08/19/2008
10:10:46 AM PDT by Kenny Bunk
An expert from the National Autonomous University
of Mexico predicted that the Earth will enter a "Little Ice Age"
which will last from 60 to 80 years and may be caused by the decrease in solar
activity.
Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a researcher at the
Dr. Velasco described as "erroneous"
predictions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), of a
gradual increase in temperature, the so-called global warming. The models and
forecasts of the IPCC "are incorrect because they are based solely on
mathematical models and do not include, for example, solar activity," said
Velasco, who is also a specialist in predictive image processing. "The
phenomenon of climate change," he added, "should include both
internal and external factors. Internal would include volcanic activity,while external causes
include solar activity."
"Curiously, the Sun never has been seen as a
cooling agent, but as a cause of warming. It clearly has roles in both cooling
and warming," he said.
At present, Velasco holds that the world is going
through a transition phase of considerably diminished solar activity, "so
that in two years or so, there will be the beginnings of a small ice age
that lasts from 60 to 80 years,and the immediate
consequence of this" he added, "will be drought."
Analyses by the IPCC concluded that the
"Little Ice Age",a
cold period that lasted since the beginning of the fourteenth century until the
mid-nineteenth century. was a regional phenomena or
accentuation of local effects. But Velasco disagrees. He says that,
"Current evidence does not support globally synchronous periods of
abnormal heat or cold in this timeframe," and that it must have been
caused by other factors.
Highlights and Dates
According to Velasco, effects will be clearly observable within in
approximately two years. However, in early July, Velasco Herrera said that
satellite data indicate it is possible that this period of global cooling may
have even already begun as early as 2005.
He has predicted that cooling would fully arrive within 30 or 40 years.